USA TODAY Sports
Always bet on black. One of the coolest lines in Passenger 57 (it's a movie, I swear, look it up even). Although, if Wesley Snipes was talking about hoops, he probably would have recommended betting on red, or maize and blue, and certainly not orange...or black, I guess.
Syracuse's
run to the Final Four has most Orange fans clamoring to read and hear
everything and anything they can about their team. Which, when thinking
back to 2003, or 1996, and certainly 1987 and 1975, there is plenty more
to read about this trip thanks to vast Internet options
and the power of social media. Just refresh your twitter account and
you're likely to see something different, or more likely rehashed (OH MY GOD, THE ZONE!!! THE ZONE!!), on the Orange -- and that goes double for the other three teams, which seem to have a bigger spotlight on them nationally.
But the one constant with college hoops -- and sports in general for that matter -- is Las Vegas. There's always odds. And a lot like the media coverage slanting away from Syracuse, Vegas hasn't exactly been on the Orange.
- Louisville #1 19/4
- Indiana #1 5/1
- Florida #3 7/1
- Gonzaga #1 10/1
- Kansas #1 10/1
- Duke #2 12/1
- Miami Florida #2 14/1
- Ohio State #2 16/1
- Georgetown #2 18/1
- Michigan State #3 18/1
- New Mexico #3 20/1
- Michigan #4 22/1
- Syracuse #4 22/1
- St. Louis #4 25/1
- Wisconsin #5 25/1
- Pittsburgh #8 33/1
- VCU #5 40/1
- And so on...
Not
bad for a four seed, one that had lost four of its final five regular
season games. Syracuse fans probably saw a team that had beaten
Pittsburgh and Georgetown, while the rest of the college basketball
world saw a team struggling, one heading west before possibly playing
mighty Indiana. 22/1 odds were really probably spot on. The same odds
for Michigan, for that matter.
But
here we are with only two games left in the NCAA season (save for the
CBI, NIT, and CBZ -- only one of those isn't real), Syracuse sitting 80
minutes from a national championship. Just four teams left playing
college basketball games that count. So obviously, Syracuse's odds to win it all have increased:
- Louisville - 1/2 -- The favorite, obvi.
- Michigan - 3/1 -- Hmm, well the Wolverines are 2 to 2.5 point favorites over the Orange.
- Syracuse - 4/1 -- There are only four teams left, how is it...I mean, I don't get...
- Wichita State - 12/1 - Ohhhh! I get it, no love for the Shockers.
I wrote it Sunday:
-- and that's not even factoring in the emotional story of Kevin Ware.
With a nice close to the regular season, a Big East tourney title, and
four blowout victories thus far, the Cards are the clear-cut favorite --
no questions asked.
As far as the next team down? The Wolverines have Trey Burke
and a host of talented, albeit inexperienced, sharp shooters. A top-ten
team all season, one that competed in the supposed best conference in
the land. Of course, Michigan did hit the skids, similar to Syracuse, and its a team with a coach who's never beaten Jim Boeheim (0-9 all time, 0-1 at Michigan).
We're
picking nits here, but you could make an argument that Syracuse should
be the favorite to play the Cardinals...and just the same, you could
make the case for the Wolverines.
- Louisville v. Michigan - 10/11
- Louisville v. Syracuse - 7/5
- Wichita v. State Michigan - 15/2
- Wichita State v. Syracuse - 101
Of
course, what the Sharps think hasn't mattered so far. The Orange
weren't favored by 47 against Montana. Just the same, Indiana was the
overwhelming favorite against Syracuse. And like we all know, almost no
one gave SU a real shot at getting to Atlanta. So, all these numbers are
in the end...just numbers.
That's
what makes the tournament so great. It's not just Vegas, it's all of
us. We all think we know what's going to happen, or at least have a good
idea of what to expect. But how many of you had this Final Four on your
bracket? If you said yes, you're a liar. No one gave a chance to
Wichita State -- a team most figured would be beaten in the first round
by Pittsburgh.
Didn't
happen though. It's not the Hoosiers, or the Jayhawks, or the Buckeyes,
or even the Lobos (a team I totally fell for by the way...what an idiot
I am) setting up for a fun-in-the-sun trip to Atlanta like Vegas
thought. It looks like Louisville, the team with the best odds of
winning it all from the start, was forecast correctly. But, as the other
three teams still playing have proven, odds are odds don't always mean
everything.
No comments:
Post a Comment