2011 NFL Mock Draft:Top 5 Picks

Tood McShay - The 2011 NFL draft is just over a week away and all kinds of rumors, buzz and innuendo are swirling around players and teams up and down the board.

That means it's time for my annual scenario-based mock draft, which includes backup plans for all 32 picks. The first scenario will explain the player each team was given as the board unfolded, with the second and third breaking down further options in terms of prospects and possible trades.

Here's how I see things shaking down at this point and how each team could be affected by decisions made in the spots ahead of it.


Carolina Panthers

Record: 2-14 | Needs: QB, DT, CB, OLB, TE
Cam Newton, QB, Auburn

Scenario 1: The information I'm hearing about this pick is not changing, so for now I'm working with the assumption that Newton is the pick.
Scenario 2: Address a pressing need at defensive tackle with Alabama's Marcell Dareus, who I believe is the best player in this class.
Scenario 3: Go with Missouri's Blaine Gabbert -- who I rate 10 spots higher than Newton -- at quarterback. Note: I'm hearing things about LSU CB Patrick Peterson and Georgia WR A.J. Green, but based on positional value, it's hard to believe the Panthers would go in either of those directions.

Denver Broncos

Record: 4-12 | Needs: DT, ILB, TE, S, QB
Marcell Dareus, DT, Alabama

Scenario 1: Dareus remains the likely choice here. There is no better match between need and value in the first round.
Scenario 2: If Dareus is gone, Texas A&M OLB Von Miller is the pick for a team looking to upgrade on defense.
Scenario 3: Taking a quarterback is the wild card here. Vice president of football operations John Elway has given no indication he's in love with either of the top two signal-callers, but we continue to hear the organization does not believe 2010 first-rounder Tim Tebow is the long-term answer.

Buffalo Bills

Record: 4-12 | Needs: LOT, OLB, QB, DE, TE
Von Miller, OLB, Texas A&M

Scenario 1: Miller is the premier pass-rusher in this class and fits perfectly at outside linebacker in Buffalo's 3-4 defense. This is the smart pick, but still a tough pill to swallow given the lack of production the Bills have gotten from 2009 first-rounder Aaron Maybin.
Scenario 2: Use this pick on one of the quarterbacks, likely Newton if he's on the board.
Scenario 3: The only other player I'm hearing even whispers about is Peterson.

Cincinnati Bengals

Record: 4-12 | Needs: QB, WR, DT, OT, RB
A.J. Green, WR, Georgia

Scenario 1: There are reports that the Bengals think Alabama's Julio Jones is a better fit in their version of the West Coast offense, but I think Green is on another level in terms of explosiveness and ball skills.
Scenario 2: Take Jones if he truly is the better player for their system.
Scenario 3: There are conflicting rumors about whether the Bengals are ready to move on from the Carson Palmer era and I've heard offensive coordinator Jay Gruden likes both Newton and Gabbert, so quarterback is not out of the question. I'm also hearing they are high on TCU's Andy Dalton, so keep an eye out for a trade back into the late first round.

Arizona Cardinals

Record: 5-11 | Needs: QB, OLB, OT/OG, TE, CB
Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri

Scenario 1: The Cardinals need an upgrade at quarterback, and while I've been told they are not that crazy about Gabbert or Newton, my gut feeling is that they will take the QB who's available.
Scenario 2: If it's not a quarterback, then the pass rush becomes a priority, and North Carolina DE/OLB Quinn becomes the pick.
Scenario 3: Peterson does not fill a pressing need but would be a value pick even at this spot.

Buffal Bills Blitz NFL Picks Week 8

Buffalo Bills Blitz week 8 Stone Cold Lock Picks. The first pick New York Giants (+1) over Philadelphia Eagles. I personally think that Eli Manning bounce back after back-to-back losses. Unlike the two meeting last year at Giants Stadium which New York lost to Philadelphia, Manning will have talented receivers to work with. Steve Smith is among the leaders in yardage, Hakeem Nicks role in the offense is growing every week. The only problem is the drop happy Mario Manningham, who can't run a route to save his life. The Eagles scored 27 points against the Redskins on Monday Night, but they were far from impressive. Thirteen of those points came off turnovers, 14 points were scored via long Desean Jackson gains. Take away both Jackson Touchdowns the Eagles offense has 38 total yards. The key to the game may be the return of Kreem Mckenzie will probably be back in the line-up, so New York rushing attack should be more effective this Sunday. The are ranked 4th against the run but, the Giants have shown over the years that they can move the chains via the ground game on anyone. The difference last Sunday Night against Cardinals was McKenzie absence. Giants 24 Eagles 20. Buffalo Bills Blitz second pick. New York Jets(-3) over Miami Dolphins. The Jets are rated 17th versus the rush, and the lost there Pro Bowl Nose Tackle Kris Jenkins a week ago. his absence will be huge here, as Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams should be able to rip off massive yardage, setting up easy conversions for Chad Henne, who has played well thus the fourth quarter against the Saints. The will be Henne first start in a hostile environment against the Jets on the road. The Jets have rushed for 300 plus- yards for the second week in a row on Sunday. the Jets has on of the elite ground attacks in the NFL. Leon Washington is done for the year, but Shonne Greene has shown that he is capable of being a very good replacement. There are three good reason why the Jets will win this football game. Will Allen the Dolphins starting Conerback is out for the year. Second the Jets best wide receiver Jerricho Cotchery will be back in the line-up. Finally, The weather report says, that it will be 60 degrees and sunny. There is no way the Dolphins can recover from that fourth quarter debacle against the Saints. Jets 24 Dolphins 17. The San Diego Chargers (-16) Oakland Radiers. As, JaMarcus Russell goes, the Raiders go. In the three game Russell did not pay like a crack fiend, Oakland is 2-1 with the sole loss coming on Monday Night against the Chargers. In the other four games, Russel is a combined 38 for 78 for 350 yards, zero touchdowns, six interceptions and four fumbles lost. The Raiders, of course are 0-4 in those contests ans were out scored 134-16. The Chargers however, cannot run the football very well, outside of one long gain against the chiefs the Chargers struggled against 29th -ranked ground defense. Philip rivers was able to slaughter the chiefs through the air, but that will not happen on Sunday. Oakland's secondary is pretty solid, as Nnamdi Asomugha will erase Vincent Jackson. Meanwhile, the Chargers horrific offense line will not be able to block the Raiders pass rush. This maybe far fetched if you are a Chargers fan, just ask any "Eagles Backer" about this. Beating the Raiders Via the pass is not something you want to do. I can't recommend laying more than a unit on the Raiders. Russel is just that bad. He might be motivated after being benched, but hearing him say the aforementioned quote after the Jets game, I swear he was high. He just looked so out of it. He might be morbidly stupid, but I seriously think he was on drugs. The charges must win this game there next three opponents are the Giants, Eagles and Broncos. Chargers 31 Raiders 13

NFL Week 7 Preview: Buffalo Bills @ Carolina Panthers

The Buffalo Bills got extremely lucky last week and defeated the New York Jets 16-13 overtime. The Bills needed six turnovers to beat the New York Jets at the Meadowlands. The Bills lost their starting quarterback Trent Edwards to injury early in the first half and backup Ryan Fitzpatrick had to finished the game. Fitzpatrick had a solid game coming off the bench throwing a game tie touchdown pass to Lee Evans and leading the Bills to victory. The Bills offense is one of the most inept offenses in the NFL but, that is not there most serious problem. the Bills defense is terrible with injuries mounting on defense there Swiss cheese defense can only get worse. The Bills are playing with there second starting defensive backfield and starting outside linebacker Kavika Mitchell is lost for the season with a torn ACL. The Bills also, lost there best defensive lineman over the last few games Kyle Williams who will probably not play against the Carolina Panthers. This crop of injuries for the Bills is a bad tonic because, the Carolina Panthers are the best running football team in the NFL. The Panthers running game is lead by the best running back combination in the NFL DeAngelo Williams and Johnathan Stewart who both had over hundred yards against the hapless Tampa Bay Bucs. The Panthers have one of the best offensive lines in the NFL and they should have a excellent game against the Bills depleted defensive line and linebackers. The Bills gave up 318 rushing yards to the Jets and won the football game but, that will not happen this week against the Panthers. The Panthers have there own problems at quarterback with Jake Delhoumme who is one of the worst rated quarterbacks in the NFL. Delhoumme is tied with Mark Sanchez with ten interceptions and he has not been able to get the football to Steve Smith one of the best wide receivers in the NFL. I expect Steve Smith to have a break out game against the Bills weak Secondary. The Panthers defense has been solid this year and they should able to shut Ryan Fitzpatrick the stand out quarterback from Harvard. This game is the steal of the week. Carolina 27 Buffalo 10

Buffalo Bills Blitz- NFL - Experts Picks Week 6

Buffalo Bills Blitz Week 6 NFL Stone Cold Lock Picks. The first picks is the Packers (-11.5)over Detroit Lions. Packers quarterback Aaron Rogers is 2-0 against Lions with 636 yards passing and 318 passing yards a game with six touchdowns and zero interceptions for 123.5 passer rating. Therefore,that is surley a misleading statistic because everyone has a great game against the Lions. Though they are certainly improved from the team that Rogers dominated last year. Detroit is not coming into Lambeau Field and beating the Packers on Sunday. The Packers 31, Lions 17. The second pick is the Jacksonville Jaguars (-10.5) over St. Louis Rams. The Jaguars are coming off a humiliating 41-0 loss Seattle Seahawks and the can't wait to get on the football field on Sunday a redeem themselves from the most embarrassing loss in Jaguar history. The Rams could be one of the worst football teams this decade because they have no offense or defense. They can't score and they can't stop there opponents from scoring. That is a bad combination for a NFL football team. I think Maurice-Jones-Drew will have a excellent game and the Jaguars defense will shut down the Rams hapless offense. Jaguars 34, Rams 10. The last pick is the New York Jets(-10) over Buffalo Bills. Rex Ryan defense will Blitz all day against the Bills worthless offensive line. The Jets were dominated by the Dolphins wildcat offense but, they will not have to worry about that this week. The Bills no-huddle offense is terrible and the Jets pass rushers should have a excellent day. I expect the Jets defense to get at least 5 sacks against the worst offensive line in the NFL. Mark Sanchez should have his best day as a pro against a Bills injury riddled defense. The Jets will crush the Bills. Jets 34 Bills 6.

Buffalo Bills Blitz NFL Week 5 Picks Stone Cold Locks

Buffalo Bills Blitz Week 5 NFL Stone Cold Lock Picks. First Pick Cleveland Browns (+6) over Buffalo Bills. I actually think Eric Mangani did something smart each of the last two weeks. Two weeks ago, he named Derek Anderson the starter, ending the Brady Quinn experiment before the Notre Dame alumnus noodled any more footballs into double coverage. Then, this week, he pulled on of his best additions by subtraction trades I have seen in a while and still managed to get a starting receiver, a special teams ace and third-fifth round draft picks in exchange. Granted Braylon Edwards might get his act together in New York. But he is finished in Cleveland. Once you punch one of Lebron James buddies on his home turf and it happens to be a contract year for Lebron you are a dead man walking in that city. One day Lebron calls you "Childish". The next day you are cleaning toilets in Lebron's home casino. The Browns failed to notch a single first down rushing Sunday but scored two offensive touchdowns which was huge for them. the Browns should be able to run and pass the football on the Bills. The Browns Beat the Bills 24-17. Buffalo Bills Blitz second Pick Oakland Raiders (+14) over New york Giants. The Giants starting quarterback Eli Manning is questionable with a foot injury because he, did not practice the last two days. The Giants may have to turn to there backup quarterback David Carr to run the show. I expect the giants to win if Carr is the starting quarterback but they will not win by 14 points. The Giants will defeat the Raiders 24-14. The third pick is New England Patriots (-3.5) over Denver Broncos. I will have to give Josh McDaniel's credit for the Broncos 4-0 start with Kyle Orton as his starting quarterback. The Broncos were expected to win six or seven games this season now they are the favorites to win the AFC West. This week I expect the Broncos charmed life to end. The Patriots quarterback Tom Brady will exploit the the Broncos Defense and give the Broncos there first defeat. The Patriots will defeat the Broncos 31-20.

Buffalo Bills Blitz Buffalo Bills @ Cleveland Browns NFL Week 5 Preview

This weeks tilt between The Buffalo Bills and Cleveland Browns will be a game that will determine if the Bills have any pride at all. I personally believe that the Cleveland Browns are a horrible football team full of underachievers. The Browns should have won this past Sunday when losing by 3 points to Bengals in overtime, Against Buffalo, a team in disarray, the Brown are 6 point underdogs. The Browns could go into Buffalo and simply play better than the Bills who have no life after getting thumped by New Orleans saints and Miami Dolphins in past two weeks. Finally, look up unwatchable in the dictionary to find this game described in detail. Buffalo Bills fans are praying for John Gruden to like cold weather and the Cleavland Browns fans are watching preseasons games of Le Bron James and Cleveland Cavilers. Eric Mangani probably fired is last bullet when he switch to Derek Anderson last week followed by a loss. The Bills defense is allowing 5.4 YPC. and Browns 4.8 YPC. neither team can stop the run. This could be a wild game at Ralph Wilson stadium because both defenses are terrible. If Trent Edwards can't get healthy against the Cleveland Browns the Bills management might have to replace him with Ryan Fitzpatrick the Bills backup quarterback. The Cleveland Browns today traded Braylon Edwards to the New York Jets for Chauncey Stuckey and two draft picks. The Browns might be a better team without Edwards because he might be a cancer in the clubhouse. The Browns tried to trade Edwards during the off season but, he had medical problems. When two bad football teams are playing always take the team on the up swing. The team on the upswing is the Cleavland browns because they should have beaten the Bengals. The Bills are playing horrible football and the quit on Dick Jauron last Sunday against the Dolphins. The last two times these teams played the Browns Defeated the Bills in 2007 8-0 and 2008 29-27. Last year the 29-27 win against the Bills was the Browns last regular season win. I expect the Browns to come into Ralph Wilson Stadium and upset the Bills 27-20. Take Browns and the 6 points.

Buffalo Bills Blitz NFL Week 4 Picks

The first pick of week 4 NFL Picks on Buffalo Bills Blitz. Take the New Orleans Saints (-7) over The New York Jets. The New York Jets continue to run through there competition with a dominating defense while, New Orleans saints are a offensive Juggernaut. Something will have to give when these two teams meet in the battle of the Bayou. The key the game will be the Saints wide Receivers versus the Jets suffocating secondary. Drew Brees only used four Wide Receivers against the Buffalo Bills, something will need to change if they expect to win. The Jets Cornerback, Jets Lito Sheppard and Derrell Revis will be tested on every down. The Saints defeat Jets 31-21. The Second pick of the wek is Oakland Radiers (+9) over Houston Texans. The Oakland Raiders have offensive problems ranking 31st in the NFL. The Raiders have a nice stable of running backs and are one of the most effective teams running the football but, without a balance attack it is going to be tough sledding over long haul. The Texans have had problems scoring at home averaging 15 points a game. The Texans have a explosive offense under the leadership of Matt Schawb and Andre Johnson who are one of the top combinations in the NFL. The Texans will defeat the Raiders 27-20. The third pick of the week is take the Miami Dolphins(-2) over Buffalo Bills. The Dolphins have lost there starting quarterback Chad Pennington but, they will start the new era Chad Henne a second round draft from Michigan. Henne will start his first game against a Bills football team who has trouble with quarterbacks who start there first game. The Bills lost 29-27 Cleveland Browns on Monday Night Football when Brady Quinn engineered his only win as a NFL Quarterback. The Bills last week had trouble scoring on offense last week against a Saints defense that was giving up 24 points game before meeting the Buffalo Bills. The Bills Quarterback Trent Edwards did not complete one pass to Terrell Owens breaking his 185 game pass catching streak. Take the Dolphins in a close football Game. The Dolphins Defeat Bills 17-13.

Buffalo Bills Biltz Week 3 Stone Cold Lock NFL Picks

Buffalo Bills Blitz Week 3 NFL Picks. The First pick take the Green Bay Packers (-9) over St. Louis Rams. The is no question that the Packers are a far superior football team. The only question is will the Packers be looking ahead to the next game against the Minnesota Vikings. Take the Packers to win the game 31-17. The Second pick take the Tennessee Titans (+3) over New york Jets. What the Titans backers have to understand is that this game is also an important game for Jets. The Titans are 0-2, but they are considered among elite teams in the NFL, so the Jets are not going to roll over. In fact that is why I think this will be a tough football game and the Titans will defeat the New York Jets 20-13. The third pick take the New York Giants (-10) over Tampa Bay Bucs. The Bucs defense is terrible they game up 438 yards aginst the Buffalo Bills mediocre offense. The Giants will also have there All-Pro Defensive Lineman Jason Tuck said he will play in the contest. If Tuck is in the game the Bucs will not be able to run the football. Eli Manning is playing at a MVP level early in the season. If the Giants show up this should be a easy Giants victory. The Giants will crush the Bucs 31-10.

NFL Picks Week 2, 3 Free NFL Picks on Buffalo Bills Blitz

The first pick of the week on Buffalo Bills Blitz is Green Bay Packers (-9) over Cincinnati Bengals. If you are going to get beaten, Cincinnati, Get beaten on a last second 87 yard touchdown reception. Just take the Packers the Bengals are a bunch of clowns. The second pick of the week is Dallas Cowboys (-2.5) over New York Giants. In the past four months Tony Romo has divested himself of Terrell Owens and Jessica Simpson. no wonder he seems so happy while playing football. Romo spread the football around to eight different receivers which will help the Cowboys become a better football team. The final pick of the week is Buffalo Bills (-4) over Tampa Bay Bucs. I look for the Bills to win a close football with a late touchdown pass to Terrell "Crybaby" Owens.. The Bills will have a hangover from there disappointing loss to the New England Patriots 25-24. If it is worth nothing that the Bills are 11-3 against the number in there last 14 weeks contests and are 4-1 in the last five games following a defeat I expect Buffalo to bounce back strong.

Buffalo Bills Biltz 3 Stone Cold Lock NFL Picks

The is week 1 of Buffalo Bills Blitz NFL Picks. Buffalo Bills Biltz will have 3 NFL Picks every Friday during the NFL season. The first pick of the season is the Green Bay Packers -3.5 over the Chicago Bears. The Packers are a much improved football team with Dom Capers as Defensive coordinator and the emergence of Aaron Rogers as a elite quarterback in the NFL. The Bears Jay Cutler will have a excellent game but the Packers will prevail in Legendary Lambeau Field 31-21 in the Black @ Blue Clash Of Titian's. The Second Pick is the New England Patriots -10.5 over the Buffalo Bills. The New England Patriots under the leadership of a healthy Tom Brady will be ready to establish itself as the premiere football team in the NFL. The Patriots have added free agents Fred Taylor and Joey Galloway to a already explosive offense with Randy Moss and Wes Welker. The Buffalo Bills are a team in chaos with a new rookie offensive coordinator and a inexperienced offensive line that is the making of a biblical disaster in Foxboro, Mass. on Monday Night. The Bills offense will be helped by Terrell Owens but that will not be enough to overcome the powerful New England offense that could be on the same level as the 2007 team that went undefeated during the regular season. The Patriots slaughter the Bills 34-17. The final pick of the week is the Houston Texans -4.5 over the New York Jets. The Texans are primed to make a strong move in the AFC South and they now have the talent to compete with the Colts and Titans. The Texans have one of the best quarterback receiver combinations in the NFL with Matt Schawb and Andre Johnson who tore up the NFL last season. The Texans defense is lead by Mario Williams who is one of the top Defensive Ends in the NFL and they also, have a excellent Linebacker core which is getting better every year. The Jets Offense will be lead by Rookie Quarterback Mark Sanchez in his pro debut. Sanchez will be help by a strong running game with Thomas Jones and the most underrated football player in the NFL Leon Washington. The Jets Defenses will be helped by Bart Scott and Jim Leonard free agents from Baltimore. The Jets will be without the best Defensive Lineman Shaun Ellis who was suspended by NFL. The Jets will play a competitive game but lose 24-17 to the new and improved Houston Texans.