The Kansas City Chiefs (4-2) host the Buffalo Bills (0-6) at Arrowhead Stadium in week eight. This game will feature two surprise teams of the 2010 NFL season. Not many could have realistically thought of the Chiefs as a team that would be a division leader at this point and the Bills are doing worse than expected. Of course, the Bills haven’t played as bad as their record suggests they are and the Chiefs can’t look past the Bills who have hung tough against teams like the Patriots, Dolphins and lately the Ravens who went into overtime after the Bills blew a large lead.
Jon McGraw vs. Ryan Fitzpatrick
Although the Bills look lie a bad team, they have been competitive since they changed to Fitzpatrick at quarterback. Although he is 0-4 as the Bills starter, he has completed 81/128 for 969 yards with 11 TDs and 4 picks, a passer rating of 102. If he had been the starter for the first two games, he could be among the best quarterbacks (statistically) in the NFL. Jon McGraw is the man in charge of keeping a lid on the passing game as a free safety. The Bills’ wide receivers Roscoe Parish and Lee Evans each average over 10 yards per reception. McGraw will have his work cut out for him.
Jamaal Charles/Thomas Jones vs. Andra Davis
Charles and Jones have become one of the most underrated rushing tandems in the NFL as they have combined their different styles to create a monster running game. The Chiefs lead the NFL by averaging 176.5 rushing yards per game with their two man backfield. Andra Davis has been recognized as a very good inside linebacker in his career that has gone from Cleveland to Denver to Buffalo. He will have the task of stepping up into the running lanes of Thomas Jones. Jones is mostly an interior runner and can be taken down by Davis. Charles will be tough to stop by Davis alone as his speed has helped him average 6.0 yards per carry.
Dwayne Bowe vs. Reggie Corner
Dwayne Bowe has stepped up his game (18 catches, 341 yards, 5 TDs) and has been reliable for Matt Cassel. Reggie Corner has been filling in for the injured Terrence McGee at corner back for the Bills for the last three weeks and only has nine tackles with no picks to show for it. Dwayne Bowe can be a real problem for Corner who is 5’9″ and 175 pounds while Bowe is 6’2″ at 221 pounds. The five inch difference in height as well as the 46 pound difference will give Bowe the ability to reach the high passes better and push Corner around in tight coverage at the line of scrimmage. McGee has missed the last three games and is questionable.
Tamba Hali vs. Demetrius Bell
Hali has made 5.5 sacks and has wreaked havoc in offensive backfields. Bell will be lined up in front of Hali at right tackle for the Bills. If the Bills are to enjoy the talent that Ryan Fitzpatrick brings to their offense, they must give him time to throw and make big plays. At 307 pounds, Bell is a light tackle and will be better suited to match Hali’s speed rush to the edge. But Hali has seemed to have a knack of getting to the quarterback and I am sure that he already has his game plan ready to get around Bell and get to Fitzpatrick.
My Pick
It should be easy to pick the Chiefs here but it isn’t as easy as you would think. The Bills have had a fighting spirit in most of their games and haven’t stopped playing hard despite their 0-6 record. They just went into overtime against the Ravens, which is a moral victory to some people. But I say the Chiefs will win this game for two reasons. The Bills allow an NFL worst 174.5 rushing yards per game and the Chiefs have the best rushing game (176.5) in the league. That is my formula in predicting that the Chiefs will roll to a 5-2 record while the Bills stay win-less. Chiefs 31 - Bills 17
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